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How World War III Begins in 2029 (A U.S.-China Battle Over Taiwan?)

That's what one fictional article that went viral last week suggests. Could it come true?

The Natinal Interest
Date: December 7, 2019
By Kyle Mizokami


This week, The Critic published Looking Back: World War III Remembered, a piece reflecting back on the great war of 2029. The fictitious article tries to grapple with how a nuclear war between the United States and China took place, examining discussions at the very top in both governments shortly before it took place. The article suggests the trigger was a near-replay of a similar crisis in 1996–but one that had a much more devastating outcome. 

The origin of the war, the article explains, was the aggressive rise of China. America, on the other hand, “the weary titan, grew scared of China’s rise and the defection of allies”. In the article, the United States makes the decision to decouple from China and recouple with Taiwan, a policy that triggers, “enhanced arms sales, diplomatic contact, naval port visits, even sailing a carrier through the Taiwan Strait”.  

Meanwhile, on the ground in Taiwan, the article explains, “without warning, Taiwan’s president announced a referendum on independence. Beijing responded with a total blockade, demanding it acknowledge ‘One China’.” In response the United States decides to send two carrier battle groups to the Taiwan Strait, either to stage a counter-blockade against China or break the blockade against Taiwan. We never know what course of action Washington ultimately decided to take.

In response to the U.S. deployment, China decides to launch a “Sunshine Bomb”, a nuclear detonation far from U.S. or Taiwanese forces that shows resolve. If that failed to work, the People’s Liberation Army would stage a limited attack against the carriers. We can infer that the “Sunshine Bomb” did not work, nor did any effort on either side to limit the scope of the war, as we know that ultimately the conflict spun out into an all-out nuclear war.     [FULL  STORY]

The Hong Kong protests have affected Taiwan’s election – but Beijing won’t back down

  • President Tsai and the DPP have taken advantage of the people’s fears of mainland influence to gain an advantage over the KMT
  • But no matter who comes out on top in the January polls, Beijing is likely to maintain its tough stance on the island

South China Mornikng Post
Date: 7 Dec, 2019
By: Wang Xiangwei  

Hongkongers participate in an anti-extradition bill march from Tsim Sha Tsui to the West Kowloon High Speed Rail Link Terminus on July 7. Photo: Sam Tsang

While Beijing is revving up its propaganda machine to trumpet China’s good governance and development plans as great contributions to the international order, its bold claims ring somewhat hollow over what it sees as its own domestic affairs: Hong Kong, one of China’s special administrative regions, and Taiwan, with which Beijing vows to reunite through peaceful means or otherwise.

By design, Hong Kong – which was promised a high degree of autonomy under the “one country, two systems” formula when it reverted to Chinese rule in 1997 – was supposed to serve as a model for Taiwan.

But the example the city is setting for Taiwan is one Beijing least wants to see. What has transpired in Hong Kong over the past six months, and the increasingly likely outcome of next month’s presidential election in Taiwan, have shown that while the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong and Taiwan still remain deeply intertwined on an economic level, they have drifted further apart psychologically and politically.

Why Beijing’s best option is to wait for Hong Kong to appeal mask ban As the anti-government and anti-Beijing protests in Hong Kong enter their sixth month, and after the pro-Beijing faction suffered a resounding defeat in the city’s district council elections in November, the unrest in Hong Kong has given a strong boost to Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen and her independence-leaning Democratic Progressive Party (DPP).    [FULL  STORY]

Ex-British consulate employee from Hong Kong shadowed in Taiwan

Suspect who reportedly tailed Simon Cheng thought to be foreign national

Taiwan News
Date: 2019/12/07
By: Matthew Strong, Taiwan News, Staff Writer

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — During his stay in Taiwan, the former employee of the British consulate in

Simon Cheng (photo from Facebook).

Hong Kong who has accused China of torturing him was shadowed by an unknown foreign national, reports said Saturday (Dec. 7).

Simon Cheng (鄭文傑) was detained in China for 15 days in August, during which time he says he was tortured and questioned about the supposed role of Great Britain in the months-long protests in Hong Kong. After his release, he left the territory and stayed in Taiwan from Aug. 30 until Nov. 29 before moving to the UK, Liberty Times reported.

However, even during his visit to the island, he reportedly did not feel safe. According to Cheng, a middle-aged man followed him around, pretending to be reading books at the Xinyi branch of Eslite in Taipei and even changing his clothes.

As a result of the incident, Cheng asked the Taiwanese authorities for protection. An investigation concluded that the man who had been shadowing the former diplomat was not, as might have been assumed, a local supporter of unification with China but a foreigner, CNA reported.
[FULL  STORY]

March held to mark 40th anniversary of Kaohsiung Incident

Focus Taiwan
Date: 2019/12/07
By: Wang Shu-fen, Chen Chi-feng and Ko Lin


Kaohsiung, Dec. 7 (CNA) Several civic groups held a march Saturday to commemorate the 40th anniversary of the Kaohsiung Incident, with President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), several lawmakers, and human rights activists from Taiwan and abroad participating.

At the event, organized by the Defend Democracy Safeguard Taiwan Alliance, Taiwan Society and other civic groups, the participants marched around the Formosa Boulevard Station of the Kaohsiung Mass Rapid Transit system.

President Tsai joined the march briefly before heading to another event, while lawmakers of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the New Power Party also took part.

Other notable participants included representatives from the United Kingdom-based Amnesty International, human rights activists Klaus H. Walter of Germany, and Masahiro Watarida and Takayuki Munakata of Japan.    [FULL  STORY]

KMT’s Chen accused of pushing officer

SCUFFLE: The National Police Agency’s Special Police Sixth Corps said it would bring charges against KMT Legislator Arthur Chen for obstruction of official duty

Taipei Times
Date: Dec 08, 2019
By: Cheng Yu-fu and Jake Chung  /  Staff reporter, with staff write
r and CNA

The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) yesterday released a video that appears to show a

Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Legislator Arthur Chen, right, appears to push a police officer at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building in Taipei on Friday.
Photo: Screen grab from Deputy Legislative Speaker Tsai Chi-chang’s Facebook account

Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) legislator pushing a policewoman at a protest in Taipei the previous day.

A group of 10 to 20 KMT lawmakers and some city councilors on Friday tried to enter the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building to demand that Minister of Foreign Affairs Joseph Wu (吳釗燮) offer an explanation for the suicide last year of Su Chii-cherng (蘇啟誠), the then-director-general of the Osaka branch of the Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in Japan.

However, police at the main entrance blocked the KMT members and a scuffle ensued.

The footage, shared by DPP Legislator Wang Ting-yu (王定宇), appears to show KMT Legislator Arthur Chen (陳宜民) asking the policewoman what her unit is and knocking her cap off before pushing her.    [FULL  STORY]

Overnight temperatures forecast to dip below 10 degrees

Focus Taiwan
Date: 2019/12/07
By: Yu Hsiao-han and Y.F. Low

CNA file photo

Taipei, Dec. 7 (CNA) Overnight temperatures in parts of Taiwan will likely plunge below 10 degrees Celsius over the next two days due to the effects of a continental cold air mass, the Central Weather Bureau (CWB) forecast Saturday.

Between late Saturday and early Sunday, such low temperatures can be expected in New Taipei, Taoyuan, Hsinchu and Miaoli in northern Taiwan, as well as in the outlying county of Kinmen, the bureau said.

With the cold front moving in, temperatures across Taiwan have already dropped to 12-15 degrees Saturday morning, according to the CWB.    [FULL  STORY]

Taipei suspects arson in fire near four-faced Buddha

Four people injured, three businesses destroyed

Taiwan News
Date: 2019/12/07
By: Matthew Strong, Taiwan News, Staff Writer

Fire erupted near a four-faced Buddha in Taipei Saturday morning. (CNA photo)

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) – Police are investigating the possibility of arson in a fire in Taipei City which erupted near a four-faced Buddha statue Saturday (December 7) morning.

The blaze destroyed three businesses, a shop selling Buddhist implements which also included the statue, a furniture store, an interior decoration business as well as 11 motorcycles parked nearby, the Central News Agency reported.

The fire erupted on the first floor of a 12-story building on Linsen North Road after 8 a.m., leading to the evacuation of 500 people, with four being transferred to hospital, though all of them remained conscious and showed no injuries.

Due to the scale of the blaze, the emergency services sent in 107 fire fighters with 35 trucks and seven ambulances, according to CNA.    [FULL  STORY]

Tsai: New 600-ton coast guard ship a milestone

Radio Taiwan International
Date: 06 December, 2019
By: John Van Trieste

President Tsai Ing-wen (right) at a ship handover ceremony Friday.\

President Tsai Ing-wen has called a new 600-ton coast guard vessel a milestone in Taiwan’s efforts to build its own ships.

Tsai was speaking Friday during a ceremony in which several other new ships were handed over to Taiwan’s Ocean Affairs Council.    [FULL  STORY]

Why Taiwan Won’t Welcome China’s Dissidents

Hong Kong protesters and Chinese political dissidents often look to democratic Taiwan as a place for shelter—but its government has little interest in providing it.

The Nation
Date: December 6, 2019
By: Nick AspinwallTwitter

Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen, left, walks past a Taiwan national flag during an offshore anti-terrorism drill in New Taipei City, Taiwan, in May. (AP Photo / Chiang Ying-ying)

Li Jiabao, a 21-year-student from China’s Shandong province, first experienced the world beyond the censorship of his homeland when he came to Taiwan on a four-month study abroad program in 2018. The Chinese Communist Party claims sovereignty over Taiwan even though it has never governed it, and for Li, the difference between the island and the mainland was evident—particularly when it came to its vibrant media scene. Li dove in, reading the BBC’s website and The Economist, watching TV news of every political orientation, and becoming a devotee of a popular Taiwanese YouTube show that satirizes the state-run China Central Television. He later discovered the works of Liu Xiaobo, the Chinese dissident author and Nobel laureate who died in 2017 as a prisoner of the state. Soon after returning home, he decided that he would make it back to Taiwan and speak out against the Chinese government.

“I knew this decision would change my future and change my life,” he said. “I knew maybe, in my life, I might not be able to go back to China.”

Li returned to Taiwan in February, where he has watched Tsai Ing-wen, Taiwan’s president, win plaudits for presenting her nation as a pillar of democracy and human rights. Tsai, whose political party favors the eventual independence of Taiwan as a recognized entity separate from China, has supported the protesters in Hong Kong, opposed the erosion of religious freedom in China, and overseen the passage of Asia’s first law permitting same-sex marriages.

To Tsai, Taiwan could be a beacon for Hong Kong—and eventually even China. “We call on China to bravely move towards democracy,” she said in a January speech. “This is the only way they can truly understand Taiwanese people’s ideas and commitments.”    [FULL  STORY]

Taiwan’s KMT presidential candidate denies pro-China label in WSJ interview

Han Kuo-yu blames DPP for bad public image in interview with Wall Street Journal

Taiwan News
Date: 2019/12/06
By: Ching-Tse Cheng, Taiwan News, Staff Writer
\

Han Kuo-yu blames DPP for bad public image. (CNA photo)\

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — In a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), Kuomintang presidential candidate Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) voiced dissatisfaction over his pro-China label and claimed that the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) was responsible for his bad reputation.

Han told the WSJ that his opposition, Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文), had attempted to undermine his public image by accusing him of being a pawn of Beijing. Additionally, he added that the DPP had created fake opinion polls to confuse Taiwanese voters.    [FULL  STORY]