China’s New War Game Doesn’t Prove It Could Successfully Invade Taiwan

Beijing left out certain important possibilities and there are many unknown unknowns.

The National Interest
Date: September 22, 2020
By: Kris Osborn

Could the Chinese military destroy all of Taiwan’s ground-based air defenses and missiles launchers and achieve air and sea superiority in approximately two hours? Could such a quick attack could occur before launching a dual-carrier air attack on the island followed by a successful amphibious landing within twenty-four hours?

This optimistic assessment, however realistic, is the reported result of a computer simulation published by the Chinese government-backed Naval and Merchant Ships magazine.

“The PLA could launch intensive waves of missile and rocket attacks that would neutralize most of Taiwan’s air defense capabilities and airfields within five minutes after the operation starts and PLA warplanes would then seize air superiority,” the simulation finds, as reported by the Chinese government supported Global Times newspaper. 

Additional simulation results published by the magazine include the prediction that two aircraft carriers would “counter foreign intervention” with “suppressive attacks,” creating conditions for an amphibious landing within twenty-four hours.     [FULL  STORY]

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