3 Reasons Why Taiwan Should Not Hold an Independence Referendum

There is a strong argument that Taiwan is already an independent, sovereign nation, writes David Evans.

The News Lens
Date: 2019/03/06
By: David Evans

Credit: Reuters / TPG

An independence referendum! It sounds like a panacea for Taiwan’s political ills, doesn’t it? But the truth is that for Taiwan, especially in the current geopolitical climate, the worst thing possible for the independence movement would be to hold an independence referendum.

For advocates of independence in Taiwan and elsewhere, it is a simple equation. Taiwan holds a referendum on independence, the people of Taiwan vote for it in large numbers, and as a result, the Taiwanese government has no option but to declare independence and the rest of the world supports them in doing so.

But the world never turns quite this smoothly, as the good people of Catalonia have learned only recently.

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which claims sovereignty over Taiwan, would never accept the results of any referendum of the Taiwanese people. This authoritarian one-party dictatorship doesn’t allow their own people a say in political matters, so why would they care what the people of Taiwan think? The views of the people of Taiwan on the future of their own country are, in the eyes of the CCP, completely irrelevant, so any referendum is of absolutely no consequence whatsoever to them.
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